Tennis Trading Blog | Tennis Profits

Looking Ahead to the WTA Clay Season 2026

WTA Clay Court Season 2026 This is a companion piece to my ‘Looking forward to the Clay Court Season’ piece penned recently, writes Dave Renham. In that one, which you can read here, I focused on the ATP Tour whereas in this one I will be previewing the WTA – women’s – tour. The first two WTA clay-court tournaments have started – a 500 in Charleston, USA, and a 250 in Bogota, Columbia. After these, the main clay court tournaments (WTA 500 / 1000 events) will be hosted in Europe and they are shown below: Following Strasbourg at the end of May, the second Grand Slam of the year, the French Open at Roland Garros, will begin. In this article I am going to examine the last two years’ worth of WTA clay court stats to try to give us an edge regardless of whether we are betting …

Male tennis player stretching to reach a return.

Looking forward to the Clay Court Season This is my favourite time of the year for many reasons, writes Dave Renham. Firstly, there is usually an uptick in the weather and secondly, we have longer days with lighter evenings. There is also hope that the upcoming summer will be a warm and glorious one, although that, as we know, does not always come to fruition, here in the UK at least. My third reason for loving this time of the year is that it is the start of the clay court season. All the clay court tournaments starting in April and May are held in Europe which is great for traders and bettors as the matches are at normal times during the day. As mentioned in a previous article, I am not a fan of trading late at night or early in the morning. In addition, of all the surfaces, …

A week trading Indian Wells Straight off the bat, although I write and research tennis trading and betting articles, it is important to stress that I am not a full-time tennis trader, writes Dave Renham. I wear a number of other hats workwise including as an online maths tutor and as a regular researcher / contributor to the excellent horse racing website www.geegeez.co.uk. Consequently, my time to trade tennis matches tends to be limited. Also, I am not a huge fan of late-night trading and when the tournaments are outside Europe a lot of matches tend to be late at night or indeed overnight. Effective trading needs complete focus with no distractions or losses of concentration. I must admit there are too many times in the past when I have not been at my most effective, especially late at night having been working on other things during the day. On …

Looking at how the prices change during a tennis match The expression ‘there is more than one way to skin a cat’ is familiar to most native English speakers, writes Dave Renham. Essentially it means that there are multiple ways of achieving an outcome. This, of course, is very true for trading tennis. Many traders employ similar strategies but each individual is likely to have subtle differences in how they approach certain match situations. Some traders are more risk averse than others: they might trade at times in games where wild fluctuations could occur, such as when someone is serving for the match, for example. Others will try and eke out smaller and potentially safer trades earlier in the piece. Within each of these two types of trader we may again see differences in approach. Some may trade out as soon as their position is green. Some will trade out …

Australian Open Women’s singles – a dig into the last ten years The new tennis season is starting to click into gear and in a few days’ time we will see the start of the first Grand Slam of the year in Australia, writes Dave Renham. In this article I am going to look for pointers from previous Australian Open tournaments specifically in the Women’s Singles event. The data collected is from the last ten years. I will also offer some thoughts about this year’s event. A Quick look at the Men’s Singles Before looking at the women’s event, let me talk about the Men’s Singles briefly. Essentially, the Men’s Singles at the Australian Open has tended to go to script. There have only been four different winners across those ten years – all of the ‘big three’ have won it (Djokovic five times, Federer twice and Nadal once) and …

The New Season – focusing on the WTA As I pen this piece, there is a week to the start of the new WTA season, writes Dave Renham. The first couple of weeks in January will see the United Cup take place as well as two WTA 500 events in Brisbane and Adelaide, and a pair of WTA 250s in Auckland and Hobart. As ever, it will be interesting to note which players hit the ground running. Of course, the highlight of the early part of the season is the first Grand Slam of the year in Australia. The main draw gets underway on Sunday 18th January but, before that, qualifying begins on the 12th January. The qualifying tournament will have British interest with former British number one Katie Boulter lining up. Boulter had a torrid 2025, starting the year ranked 24 in the world and finishing outside of the …

Trading Stats based on the end of the first set In the Tennis Profits members’ area there is a ‘Strategies’ section which reveals a selection of tennis trading strategies. One of these strategies is around laying the winner of the first set under certain conditions, and resident trading expert Paul Shires discusses a variety of factors to consider when deciding whether or not to lay the first set winner. In this article, I am going to look at some key end of first set stats for different players which, when combined with Paul’s insights, have the potential to give us a real trading edge. The stats are based on the last two years up to and including 25 September 2025. The big advantage of using two-year stats is that we tend to get decent sample sizes for individual players; the downside is that those players who are either improving quickly, …

The ATP Tour: a look at the current top ten players In my last article I discussed ‘Pressure Points’ on the WTA and looked at percentage chances of winning the game from certain scorelines in the first set of matches, writes Dave Renham. If you missed it, you can read that here. Those percentages were based on averages across all WTA tour matches. For the first part of this article, I am going to revisit Pressure Points but on the men’s main (ATP) tour. Pressure points refer to points in a service game when the server faces the imminent danger of losing their serve. This includes defending breakpoints, as well as situations where losing the next point would put them in a breakpoint scenario. Hence the following eight scores count as pressure points: 0-30, 15-30, 30-30, 0-40, 15-40, 30-40, 40-40 and 40-A. Overall ATP Pressure Point performance Below is …

Breaking down some WTA stats and percentages In this article I will focus on the women’s game (WTA) as. from a trading perspective, it tends to give us more options and opportunities, writes Dave Renham. Specifically, I am going to look at different game scorelines from over 1000 WTA matches and break down the percentage chances for both the server and the returner on certain scorelines. The data focus on games within the first set up to 6-6. So, let’s crack on. First point of the game (1st set only) I have looked at over 9000 individual games within first sets, so this will include data for the first game of the set, the last game of the set (excluding the 13th game / tie break), and anything in between. I’ll start by sharing the percentages in terms of who wins the first point within each game: It’s no …

Tennis ball on the line of a tennis court.

Let’s start with the caveats, writes Matt Bisogno. I am not a tennis expert, though I do know some things about it (more every week) and have a good grasp on how to use data most of the time. And, for its part, ChatGPT is still prone to hallucination even when expressly instructed not to. But having fun with data is in my DNA and so, with the US Open inbound, I thought I’d share a little bit of my own play. The most important caveat is caveat emptor: buyer beware, every man/woman for him/herself. Wimbledon fun It started with a similar exercise I undertook before Wimbledon began. On that occasion, I wasn’t strict enough with my prompts while using ChatGPT, an AI chatbot with some impressive abilities as well as some annoying shortcomings. It has been programmed to favour speed and a complete answer over taking time and flagging …

Looking Ahead to the WTA Clay Season 2026

Looking Ahead to the ATP Clay Season

Trading Diary: Indian Wells 2026

Price Movement in Tennis Matches

Australian Open Women’s Singles: 10 Year View

Looking Ahead to the 2026 WTA Season

Trading at the End of the First Set

ATP Tour: Top Ten Player Analysis

Diving into WTA Game Score Stats

US Open and ChatG_TP